Modeling Maximum drawdown Records with Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processe in Capital Markets
Published: Mar 29, 2025
Last Updated: Mar 29, 2025
Authors:Rolando Rubilar-Torrealba, Lisandro Fermin, Soledad Torres
Abstract
We propose to model the records of the maximum Drawdown in capital markets by means a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP). We derive statistical results such as the mean and variance that describes the sequence of maximum Drawdown records. In addition, we developed a simulation study and techniques for estimating the parameters governing the stochastic process, using a practical example in the capital market to illustrate the procedure.