Uncovering influence of football players' behaviour on team performance in ball possession through dynamical modelling
Abstract
A quest for uncovering influence of behaviour on team performance involves understanding individual behaviour, interactions with others and environment, variations across groups, and effects of interventions. Although insights into each of these areas have accumulated in sports science literature on football, it remains unclear how one can enhance team performance. We analyse influence of football players' behaviour on team performance in three-versus-one ball possession game by constructing and analysing a dynamical model. We developed a model for the motion of the players and the ball, which mathematically represented our hypotheses on players' behaviour and interactions. The model's plausibility was examined by comparing simulated outcomes with our experimental result. Possible influences of interventions were analysed through sensitivity analysis, where causal effects of several aspects of behaviour such as pass speed and accuracy were found. Our research highlights the potential of dynamical modelling for uncovering influence of behaviour on team effectiveness.