CyberSec Research

Among the ways that an outer giant planet can alter the architecture of an inner planetary system is by tilting the orbits of the inner planets and reducing their mutual transit probabilities. Here, we report on an example of this phenomenon: we show that the Kepler-139 system contains a nontransiting planet just exterior to three transiting planets, and interior to a giant planet. This newly discovered planet, Kepler-139f, has an orbital period of $355 \pm 2$ days and a mass of $36 \pm 10 M_\oplus$ based on transit-timing and radial-velocity data. Through dynamical simulations, we show that gravitational perturbations on planet f's orbit from the outer giant planet reduce the probability for a randomly located observer to see transits of all four inner planets. Thus, Kepler-139 illustrates the role that outer giant planets can play in the apparent truncation of compact systems of multiple transiting planets.

Forming giant planets are accompanied by circumplanetary disks, as indicated by considerations of angular momentum conservation, observations of candidate protoplanets, and the satellite systems of planets in our Solar System. This paper derives surface density distributions for circumplanetary disks during the final stage of evolution when most of the mass is accreted. This approach generalizes previous treatments to include the angular momentum bias for the infalling material, more accurate solutions for the incoming trajectories, corrections to the outer boundary condition of the circumplanetary disk, and the adjustment of newly added material as it becomes incorporated into the Keplerian flow of the pre-existing disk. These generalizations lead to smaller centrifugal radii, higher column density for the surrounding envelopes, and higher disk accretion efficiency. In addition, we explore the consequences of different angular distributions for the incoming material at the outer boundary, with the concentration of the incoming flow varying from polar to isotropic to equatorial. These geometric variations modestly affect the disk surface density, but also lead to substantial modification to the location in the disk where the mass accretion rate changes sign. This paper finds analytic solutions for the orbits, source functions, surface density distributions, and the corresponding disk temperature profiles over the expanded parameter space outlined above.

Context: Recent JWST measurements allow access to the near-infrared spectrum of the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d, for which two different interpretations, a high-metallicity miscible envelope and a lower metallicity hycean world, are currently in conflict. Aims: Here, we reanalyze the published data and reproduce previously retrieved molecular abundances based on an independent data reduction and a different retrieval framework. The aim of this study is to refine the understanding of TOI-270 d and highlight considerations for JWST data analysis. Additionally, we test the impact of data resolution on atmospheric retrieval calculations. Methods: We reduce one JWST NIRSpec G395H and one NIRISS SOSS GR700XD transit dataset using the Eureka! pipeline and a custom MCMC-based light curve fitting algorithm at the instruments' native resolutions. The atmospheric composition is estimated with the updated BeAR retrieval code across a grid of retrieval setups and spectral resolutions. Results: Our transit spectrum is consistent with previous studies, except at the red end of the NIRISS data. Our retrievals support a higher mean molecular weight atmosphere for TOI-270 d. We provide refined abundance constraints and find statistically favored model extensions indicating either sulfur-rich chemistry with species such as CS2, CS, and H2CS, or the possible presence of CH3Cl or CH3F. However, Bayesian inference cannot distinguish between these scenarios due to similar opacities below 4 microns. Conclusions: Our analysis reinforces TOI-270 d as a highly interesting warm sub-Neptune for atmospheric studies, with a complex chemistry in a cloud-free upper atmosphere. However, its exact nature remains uncertain and warrants further detailed photochemical modeling and observations.

This paper introduces two astronomical methods developed through computational simulation to evaluate the historical dating of ancient astronomical sources. The first identifies a 1151-year planetary cycle based on the recurrence of visible configurations of Mercury to Saturn, including the Sun and Moon, from a geocentric perspective. The second, called SESCC (Speed-Error Signals Cross Correlation), statistically estimates the epoch of star catalogs by analyzing the correlation between positional error and proper motion in ecliptic latitude. Both methods are reproducible, data-driven, and yield results that contradict key tenets of the New Chronology proposed by Fomenko and Nosovsky, most notably the claim that the Anno Domini began in 1152 CE. Open-source code and analysis tools are provided for independent verification.

The search for signs of life in the Universe has entered a new phase with the advent of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). Detecting biosignature gases via exoplanet atmosphere transmission spectroscopy is in principle within JWST's reach. We reflect on JWST's early results in the context of the potential search for biological activity on exoplanets. The results confront us with a complex reality. Established inverse methods to interpret observed spectra-already known to be highly averaged representations of intricate 3D atmospheric processes-can lead to disparate interpretations even with JWST's quality of data. Characterizing rocky or sub-Neptune-size exoplanets with JWST is an intricate task, and moves us away from the notion of finding a definitive "silver bullet" biosignature gas. Indeed, JWST results necessitate us to allow "parallel interpretations" that will perhaps not be resolved until the next generation of observatories. Nonetheless, with a handful of habitable-zone planet atmospheres accessible given the anticipated noise floor, JWST may continue to contribute to this journey by designating a planet as biosignature gas candidate. To do this we will need to sufficiently refine our inverse methods and physical models for confidently quantifying specific gas abundances and constraining the atmosphere context. Looking ahead, future telescopes and innovative observational strategies will be essential for the reliable detection of biosignature gases.

The European Space Agency's Ariel mission, scheduled for launch in 2029, aims to conduct the first large-scale survey of atmospheric spectra of transiting exoplanets. Ariel achieves the high photometric stability on transit timescales required to detect the spectroscopic signatures of chemical elements with a payload design optimized for transit photometry that either eliminates known systematics or allows for their removal during data processing without significantly degrading or biasing the detection. Jitter in the spacecraft's line of sight is a source of disturbance when measuring the spectra of exoplanet atmospheres. We describe an improved algorithm for de-jittering Ariel observations simulated in the time domain. We opt for an approach based on the spatial information on the Point Spread Function (PSF) distortion from jitter to detrend the optical signals. The jitter model is based on representative simulations from Airbus Defence and Space, the prime contractor for the Ariel service module. We investigate the precision and biases of the retrieved atmospheric spectra from the jitter-detrended observations. At long wavelengths, the photometric stability of the Ariel spectrometer is already dominated by photon noise. Our algorithm effectively de-jitters both photometric and spectroscopic data, ensuring that the performance remains photon noise-limited across the entire Ariel spectrum, fully compliant with mission requirements. This work contributes to the development of the data reduction pipeline for Ariel, aligning with its scientific goals, and may also benefit other astronomical telescopes and instrumentation.

We report the discovery of TOI-3493 b, a sub-Neptune-sized planet on an 8.15-d orbit transiting the bright (V=9.3) G0 star HD 119355 (aka TIC 203377303) initially identified by NASA's TESS space mission. With the aim of confirming the planetary nature of the transit signal detected by TESS and determining the mass of the planet, we performed an intensive Doppler campaign with the HARPS spectrograph, collecting radial velocity measurements. We found that TOI-3493 b lies in a nearly circular orbit and has a mass of 9.0+/-1.2 M_earth and a radius of 3.22+/-0.08 R_earth, implying a bulk density of 1.47+/-0.23 g/cm^3, consistent with a composition comprising a small solid core surrounded by a thick H/He dominated atmosphere.

M-dwarfs frequently produce flares, and their associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) may threaten the habitability of close-in exoplanets. M-dwarf flares sometimes show prominence eruption signatures, observed as blue/red asymmetries in the H$\alpha$ line. In Paper I, we reported four candidates of prominence eruptions, which shows large diversity in their durations and velocities. In this study, we statistically investigate how blue/red asymmetries are related with their flare and starspot properties, using the dataset from 27 H$\alpha$ flares in Paper I and previously reported 8 H$\alpha$ flares on an M-dwarf YZ Canis Minoris. We found that these asymmetry events tend to show larger H$\alpha$ flare energies compared to non-asymmetry events. In particular, 5 out of 6 blue asymmetry events are not associated with white-light flares, whereas all 7 red asymmetry events are associated with white-light flares. Furthermore, their starspot distributions estimated from the TESS light curve show that all prominence eruption candidates occurred when starspots were located on the stellar disk center as well as on the stellar limb. These results suggest that flares with lower heating rates may have a higher association rate with prominence eruptions and/or the possibility that prominence eruptions are more detectable on the limb than on the disk center on M-dwarfs. These results provide significant insights into CMEs that can affect the habitable world around M-dwarfs.

Type-I disk migration can form a chain of planets engaged in first-order mean-motion resonances (MMRs) parked at the disk inner edge. However, while second- or even third-order resonances were deemed unlikely due to their weaker strength, they have been observed in some planetary systems (e.g. TOI-178 bc: 5:3, TOI-1136 ef: 7:5, TRAPPIST-1 bcd: 8:5-5:3). We performed $>6,000$ Type-I simulations of multi-planet systems that mimic the observed {\it Kepler} sample in terms of stellar mass, planet size, multiplicity, and intra-system uniformity over a parameter space encompassing transitional and truncated disks. We found that Type-I migration coupled with a disk inner edge can indeed produce second- and third-order resonances (in a state of libration) in $\sim 10\%$ and 2\% of resonant-chain systems, respectively. Moreover, the fraction of individual resonances in our simulations reproduced that of the observed sample (notably, 5:3 is the most common second-order MMR). The formation of higher-order MMRs favors slower disk migration and a smaller outer planet mass. Higher-order resonances do not have to form with the help of a Laplace-like three-body resonance as was proposed for TRAPPIST-1. Instead, the formation of higher-order resonance is assisted by breaking a pre-existing first-order resonance, which generates small but non-zero initial eccentricities ($e\approx10^{-3}$ to 10$^{-2}$). We predict that 1) librating higher-order resonances have higher equilibrium $e$ ($\sim 0.1$); 2) be more likely found as an isolated pair in an otherwise first-order chain; 3) more likely emerge in the inner pairs of a chain.

Rocky planets orbiting M-dwarf stars are prime targets for characterizing terrestrial atmospheres, yet their long-term evolution under intense stellar winds and high-energy radiation remains poorly understood. The Kepler-1649 system, which hosts two terrestrial exoplanets orbiting an M5V star, presents a valuable opportunity to explore atmospheric evolution in the extreme environments characteristic of M-dwarf stellar systems. In this Letter we show that both planets could have retained atmospheres over gigayear timescales. Using a multi-species magnetohydrodynamic model, we simulate atmospheric ion escape driven by stellar winds and extreme ultraviolet radiation from 0.7 to 4.8 Gyrs. The results show that total ion escape rates follow a power-law decline ($\propto \tau^{-1.6}$ for Kepler-1649 b, $\propto \tau^{-1.5}$ for Kepler-1649 c$\,$), with O$^{+}$ dominating atmospheric loss (76.8%-98.7%). The escape rates at 4.8 Gyrs are two orders of magnitude lower than those during the early epochs ($1.9\times10^{27}$ s$^{-1}$ at 0.7 Gyr vs. $3.0\times10^{25}$ s$^{-1}$ at 4.8 Gyrs for planet b$\,$), while planet b consistently exhibits 1.1-1.9$\times$ higher O$^{+}$ escape rates than planet c due to its closer orbit (0.051 AU vs. 0.088 AU). Despite substantial early atmospheric erosion, both planets may still retain significant atmospheres, suggesting the potential for long-term habitability. These findings offer predictive insight into atmospheric retention in M-dwarf systems and inform future JWST observations aimed at refining habitability assessments.

The sub-Neptune frontier has opened a new window into the rich diversity of planetary environments beyond the solar system. The possibility of hycean worlds, with planet-wide oceans and H$_2$-rich atmospheres, significantly expands and accelerates the search for habitable environments elsewhere. Recent JWST transmission spectroscopy of the candidate hycean world K2-18 b in the near-infrared led to the first detections of carbon-bearing molecules CH$_4$ and CO$_2$ in its atmosphere, with a composition consistent with predictions for hycean conditions. The observations also provided a tentative hint of dimethyl sulfide (DMS), a possible biosignature gas, but the inference was of low statistical significance. We report a mid-infrared transmission spectrum of K2-18 b obtained using the JWST MIRI LRS instrument in the ~6-12 $\mu$m range. The spectrum shows distinct features and is inconsistent with a featureless spectrum at 3.4-$\sigma$ significance compared to our canonical model. We find that the spectrum cannot be explained by most molecules predicted for K2-18 b with the exception of DMS and dimethyl disulfide (DMDS), also a potential biosignature gas. We report new independent evidence for DMS and/or DMDS in the atmosphere at 3-$\sigma$ significance, with high abundance ($\gtrsim$10 ppmv) of at least one of the two molecules. More observations are needed to increase the robustness of the findings and resolve the degeneracy between DMS and DMDS. The results also highlight the need for additional experimental and theoretical work to determine accurate cross sections of important biosignature gases and identify potential abiotic sources. We discuss the implications of the present findings for the possibility of biological activity on K2-18 b.

One notable example of exoplanet diversity is the population of circumbinary planets, which orbit around both stars of a binary star system. There are so far only 16 known circumbinary exoplanets, all of which lie in the same orbital plane as the host binary. Suggestions exist that circumbinary planets could also exist on orbits highly inclined to the binary, close to 90$^{\circ}$, polar orbits. No such planets have been found yet but polar circumbinary gas and debris discs have been observed and if these were to form planets then those would be left on a polar orbit. We report strong evidence for a polar circumbinary exoplanet, which orbits a close pair of brown dwarfs which are on an eccentric orbit. We use radial-velocities to measure a retrograde apsidal precession for the binary, and show that this can only be attributed to the presence of a polar planet.

According to the giant impact theory, the Moon formed by accreting the circum-terrestrial debris disk produced by Theia colliding with the proto-Earth. The giant impact theory can explain most of the properties of the Earth-Moon system, however, simulations of giant impact between a planetary embryo and the growing proto-Earth indicate that the materials in the circum-terrestrial debris disk produced by the impact originate mainly from the impactor, contradicting with the fact that different Solar System bodies have distinct compositions. Thus, the giant impact theory has difficulty explaining the Moon's Earth-like isotopic compositions. More materials from the proto-Earth could be delivered to the circum-terrestrial debris disk when a slightly sub-Mars-sized body collides with a fast rotating planet of rigid rotation but the resulting angular momentum is too large compared with that of the current Earth-Moon system. Since planetesimals accreted by the proto-Earth hit the surface of the proto-Earth, enhancing the rotation rate of the surface of the proto-Earth. The surface's fast rotation rate relative to the slow rotation rate of the inner region of the proto-Earth leads to transfer of angular momentum from surface to inner, resulting in the differential rotation. Here, we show that the giant impact of a sub-Mars-sized body on a differential rotating proto-Earth with a fast rotating outer region and a relative slow rotating inner region could result in a circum-terrestrial debris disk with materials predominately from the proto-Earth without violating the angular momentum constraint. The theory proposed here may provide a viable way of explaining the similarity in the isotopic compositions of the Earth and Moon.

The connection between the atmospheric composition of giant planets and their origin remains elusive. In this study, we explore how convective mixing can link the planetary primordial state to its atmospheric composition. We simulate the long-term evolution of gas giants with masses between 0.3 and 3 Jupiter masses, considering various composition profiles and primordial entropies (assuming no entropy-mass dependence). Our results show that when convective mixing is considered, the atmospheric metallicity increases with time and that this time evolution encodes information about the planetary primordial structure. Additionally, the degree of compositional mixing affects the planetary radius, altering its evolution in a measurable way. By applying mock observations, we demonstrate that combining radius and atmospheric composition can help to constrain the planetary formation history. Young systems emerge as prime targets for such characterization, with lower-mass gas giants (approaching Saturn's mass) being particularly susceptible to mixing-induced changes. Our findings highlight convective mixing as a key mechanism for probing the primordial state of giant planets, offering new constraints on formation models and demonstrating that the conditions inside giant planets shortly after their formation are not necessarily erased over billions of years and can leave a lasting imprint on their evolution.

29P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 1 (SW1) is both the first-discovered active Centaur and the most outburst-prone comet known. The nature of SW1's many outbursts, which regularly brighten the comet by five magnitudes or more, and what processes power them has been of particular interest since SW1's discovery in the 1920s. In this paper, we present and model four epochs of low-resolution near-infrared spectroscopy of SW1 taken with the NASA Infrared Telescope Facility and Lowell Discovery Telescope between 2017 and 2022. This dataset includes one large outburst, two periods of low activity ("quiescence" or "quiescent activity"), and one mid-sized outburst a few days after one of the quiescent observations. The two quiescent epochs appear similar in both spectral slope and modeled grain size distributions, but the two outbursts are significantly different. We propose that the two can be reconciled if smaller dust grains are accelerated more than larger ones, such that observations closer to the onset of an outburst are more sensitive to the finer-grained dust on the outside of the expanding cloud of material. These outbursts can thus appear very rapid but there is still a period in which the dust and gas are well-coupled. We find no strong evidence of water ice absorption in any of our spectra, suggesting that the areal abundance of ice-dominated grains is less than one percent. We conclude with a discussion of future modeling and monitoring efforts which might be able to further advance our understanding of this object's complicated activity patterns.

Planets are a natural byproduct of the stellar formation process, resulting from local aggregations of material within the disks surrounding young stars. Whereas signatures of gas-giant planets at large orbital separations have been observed and successfully modeled within protoplanetary disks, the formation pathways of planets within their host star's future habitable zones remain poorly understood. Analyzing multiple nights of observations conducted over a short, two-month span with the MIRC-X and PIONIER instruments at the CHARA Array and VLTI, respectively, we uncover a highly active environment at the inner-edge of the planet formation region in the disk of HD 163296. In particular, we localize and track the motion of a disk feature near the dust-sublimation radius with a pattern speed of less than half the local Keplerian velocity, providing a potential glimpse at the planet formation process in action within the inner astronomical unit. We emphasize that this result is at the edge of what is currently possible with available optical interferometric techniques and behooves confirmation with a temporally dense followup observing campaign.

Energy limits that delineate the `habitable zone' for exoplanets depend on a given exoplanet's net planetary albedo (or `Bond albedo'). We here demonstrate that the planetary albedo of an observed exoplanet is limited by the above-cloud atmosphere - the region of the atmosphere that is probed in remote observation. We derive an analytic model to explore how the maximum planetary albedo depends on the above-cloud optical depth and scattering versus absorbing properties, even in the limit of a perfectly reflective grey cloud layer. We apply this framework to sub-Neptune K2-18b, for which a high planetary albedo has recently been invoked to argue for the possibility of maintaining a liquid water ocean surface, despite K2-18b receiving an energy flux from its host star that places it inside of its estimated `habitable zone' inner edge. We use a numerical multiple-scattering line-by-line radiative transfer model to retrieve the albedo of K2-18b based on the observational constraints from the above-cloud atmosphere. Our results demonstrate that K2-18b's observed transmission spectrum already restricts its possible planetary albedo to values below the threshold required to be potentially habitable, with the data favouring a median planetary albedo of 0.17-0.18. Our results thus reveal that currently characteriseable sub-Neptunes are likely to be magma-ocean or gas-dwarf worlds. The methods that we present are generally applicable to constrain the planetary albedo of any exoplanet with measurements of its observable atmosphere, enabling the quantification of potential exoplanet habitability with current observational capabilities.

We present medium-wave ($\sim$0.5~$\mu$m to $\sim$13~$\mu$m) radiative flux distributions and spectra derived from high-resolution atmospheric dynamics simulations of an exoplanet \WASPP. This planet serves to illustrate several important features. Assuming different chemical compositions for its atmosphere (e.g., H$_2$/He only and $Z \in \{1, 12\}$ times solar metallicity), the outgoing radiative flux is computed using full radiative transfer that folds in the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) and Ariel instrument characteristics. We find that the observed variability depends strongly on the the assumed chemistry and the instrument wavelength range, hence the probed altitude of the atmosphere. With H$_2$/He only, the flux and variability originate near the 10$^5$~Pa level; with solar and higher metallicity, $\sim$10$^3$~Pa level is probed, and the variability is distinguishably reduced. Our calculations show that JWST and Ariel have the sensitivity to capture the atmospheric variability of exoplanets like \WASPP, depending on the metallicity -- both in repeated eclipse and phase-curve observations.